​​​​a smart blend of sports analytics and story telling

2016 Fantasy Football Projections - Tight Ends

Standard Fantasy Leagues point systems score the tight ends value the same as wide receivers based on total points (receiving, rushing and special team TD's) plus total yardage (receiving, rushing and special team yards) minus turnovers (fumbles lost).  This is a synopsis of the 32 starters.  For a full list and value projections see the 2016 FF Summary.

ELITE

  • Rob Gronkowski, NWE (11.4):  The best TE of all time - take Gronk always regardless who throws him the ball.
  • Greg Olsen, CAR (9.4):  Olsen benefited from Cam's improved play last year - more of the same in 2016.
  • Delanie Walker, TEN (9.2):  Walker was Mariota's go to receiver last year.  He should repeat the performance this year as Mariota improves.
  • Jordan Reed, WAS (8.9):  Reed had a monster year in his 3rd year in the league - he and Cousins have a good thing going.
  • Julius Thomas, JAX (8.8):  Bank on talented Thomas to have a career year with Bortles on the throwing end.
  • Tyler Eifert, CIN (8.6):  Eifert improved his play significantly last year  and he'll get even better with Big Red.


SOLID

  • Jimmy Graham, SEA (8.5):  After stellar play in NO, Graham struggled mightily in Seatlte exposing his weak blocking skills in a primarily running offense.
  • Antonio Gates, SDG (8.3):  Gates received his AARP card earlier this year -- but like Tony Gonzalez he still brings it even at 36.
  • Richard Rodgers, GNB (7.7):  Second year man Rodgers showed some progress but the GB offense stalled without Jordy - he'll be better this year
  • Crockett Gillmore, BAL (7.4):  Gilmore improved in  his 2nd year in the league -- the one bright spot in a strugging offense last year.
  • Travis Kelce, KAN (7.2):  Like Alex Smith, Kelce gets the job done with little flash.
  • Gary Barnidge, CLE (6.8):  Barnridge is one of the few offensive positives in Cleveland.  Hopefully Hue will find a way to get him to the next level.


AVERAGE

  • Charles Clay, BUF (6.4):  Buffalo struggled offensively but Clay has improved his play.
  • Jason Witten, DAL (6.3):  Witten was a solid choice in the past but the QB situation in Dallas and advanced age has caught to him in what could/should be his final season.
  • Coby Fleener, NOR (6.3):  Luck's injuries dropped Fleener from solid to average last year - Brees should resurect his play.
  • Jordan Cameron, MIA (6.0):  More talented but average performers in Miami -- all of them depending on Gase to get them to the next level.
  • Darren Fells, ARI (6.0):  Fells has not impressed in two years in a top offense.
  • Kyle Rudolph, MIN (5.9):  Bridgewater did not make the progress expected after a promising rookie season, which affected Rudolph's numbers - no change for 2016.
  • Zach Miller, CHI (5.7):  Another underperforming season from Miller which is not unexpected with Butler at the helm
  • Cameron Brate, TAM (5.6):  Brate improved in his sophomore season - more improvement expected with better play from Winston


POOR

  • Larry Donnell, NYG (5.0):  Donnell has not impressed in his first two seasons - skip him.
  • Dwayne Allen, IND (4.9):  Allen's play suffered last year when Luck went down - he has a lot to prove this year.
  • Jesse James, PIT (4.7):  James rookie season was not stellar  - let 's see if he can benefit for a healthy Big Ben.
  • Vance McDonald, SFO (4.3):  McDonald has not impressed in three season ut then again SF was ranked last - let someone else take him.
  • Jacob Tamme, ATL (4.2):  Tamme's best year in the last five was rated poor - skip him.
  • Brent Celek, PHI (3.4):  Avoid anything Philly in this rebuilding year.


POOR

  • CJ Fiedorowicz, HOU (3.9):  Third year man CJ has a lot to prove just to move up into the average category - avoid.
  • Matthew Mulligan, BUF (3.7):  Mulligan needs a mulligan on hi entire career.
  • Cory Harkey, STL (3.6):  Harkey is 0 for 2 in first two years in the league as a FF pick - avoid him.
  • Virgil Green, DEN (3.5):  Green will disappear in an offense starting a 2nd year QB that took one snap last year.
  • Kellen Davis, NYJ (3.4):  NY does not have a history of using the TE much in the passing game
  • Lee Smith, OAK (3.2):  Carr's improvement last year did not come from the TE postion.